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☆ Stock market today: futures rise as traders await interest rate clues from the Federal Reserve
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-29 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stock futures rose on Monday as investors awaited earnings and the Fed's meeting this week. The 10-year Treasury yield and US Dollar Index dropped, but have risen considerably this year. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . The US Dollar Index , which tracks the greenback's value against a basket of foreign currencies, fell by 0.3% to 105.6.

Persons: —, Stocks, Ipek Ozkardeskaya Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Treasury, Swissquote Bank, Investors, Paramount Global

☆ WEF president: 'We haven't seen this kind of debt since the Napoleonic Wars'
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-28 | by ( Matt Clinch | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Borge Brende, president of the World Economic Forum, gave a stark outlook for the global economy saying the world faces a decade of low growth if the right economic measures are not applied. "The global growth [estimate] this year is around 3.2 [%]. "Trade will change and global value chains — there will be some more near-shoring and friend-shoring — but we shouldn't lose the baby with the bathwater ... Then we have to address the global debt situation. We haven't seen this kind of debt since the Napoleonic Wars, we are getting close to 100% of the global GDP in debt," he said. He also motioned persistent inflationary pressures and that generative artificial intelligence could be an opportunity for the developing world.

Persons: Borge Brende, CNBC's Dan Murphy, shoring Organizations: Economic, Energy Locations: Saudi Arabia

☆ HSBC wealth investor is convinced four secular themes will keep the U.S. economy humming along
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-28 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

A handful of drivers will keep the American economy humming along, said Jose Rasco, chief investment officer of the Americas at HSBC's wealth division. On the cyclical front, Rasco expects growth to cool as the effects of higher rates become fully felt. "Those four themes suggest to me that's how we avoid recession," said Rasco, a Lehman Brothers and Merrill Lynch alum. Bonus: Presidential election year While not exactly an investment trend, Rasco also noted that a big part of his short-term optimism toward U.S. stocks stems from the looming presidential election. Data shows U.S. stocks tend to outperform in presidential election years.

Persons: Jose Rasco, Rasco, Merrill Lynch, it's Organizations: Federal Reserve, CNBC Pro, Federal, Lehman Brothers, U.S, U.S . Research, BlackRock, HSBC Asset Management Locations: New York City, Americas, China, Mexico, U.S

☆ Here are 5 sectors of the market that are working and the stocks that stand out in each
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-28 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +10 min

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell met with the press after the March Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which was pretty fraught. Data centers If there is the whiff of a data center or anything in one, the stock goes higher. It's why Meta stock is a buy a tad lower as stocks tend to revisit those kinds of declines. I worry about Club stock Stanley Black & Decker for this reason, but the dividend will keep it propped up for now. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.

Persons: what's, Jerome Powell, Powell, Powell isn't, Voltaire, Vertiv, Eaton, Meta, It's, jetsam, Darius Adamczyk, Vimal, Stanley Black, Decker, Azek, Morgan Stanley, Wells, Charlie Scharf, Wells Fargo, Chipotle, that's, Johnson, Jensen Huang, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Scott Mlyn Organizations: Federal, Market, Broadcom, Google, Microsoft, Nvidia, Travel American Express, Raytheon, GE Aerospace, Royal, AAR, Honeywell, Southwest Airlines, Housing, Stanley, JPMorgan, Procter, Gamble, Colgate, Merck, Bristol, Myers, PepsiCo, Energy, Coterra Energy, Diamondback, drillers, CNBC Locations: California, Royal Caribbean, Delta, Devon

☆ 2 experts outline a looming scenario where the US economy ends up caught in a dreaded period of stagflation
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-27 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

This would force interest rates to stay higher for longer, putting pressure on US businesses and consumers. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementA pair of economic reports has brought back a word no central banker ever wants to hear: stagflation. The difficult scenario occurs when inflation rises and growth stalls, a dangerous combination just experienced by the US economy.

Persons: stagflation, —, Thursday's, LPL, Jeffrey Roach, Mike Reynolds, Reynolds, Jamie Dimon, Roach, shouldn't Organizations: Service, Federal, yesterday's, Fed, Wall Street, Bank of America

☆ The US economy may end up caught in a dreaded period of stagflation. 2 experts outline the scenario, and how to keep your money safe
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-27 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

☆ Stagflation fears just hit Wall Street. Now for the next crucial report on prices
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

New York CNN —The Federal Reserve’s favorite inflation reading is due Friday morning. Investors are nervously awaiting the report after first-quarter US GDP came in softer than expected Thursday. Stocks tumbled as the slowdown in GDP, coupled with stubbornly high inflation data, stoked fears of stagflation. Wall Street earlier this year expected that the central bank would ease rates as many as six times in 2024, beginning in March. Yellen said the weaker reading was not “concerning,” mentioning that measures of underlying growth were strong in Thursday’s report.

Persons: Stocks, ”, Ayako Yoshioka, Janet Yellen, Alessandra Galloni, Alicia Wallace, ” Yellen, “, we’ve, Yellen, Read, Freddie Mac, Bryan Mena, Lawrence Yun Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Gross, Commerce Department, Atlanta, Fed, Thursday’s, Group, Traders, Bank of America, Reuters, National Association of Realtors Locations: New York, Yellen

☆ Stock market today: Indexes jump to close best week since November as investors cheer tech earnings
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( Yuheng Zhan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementUS stocks closed higher on Friday to end the best week since November, with tech rallying after earnings from mega-cap stalwarts. Instead, traders focused mostly on earnings strength from Alphabet and Microsoft. In a Friday note, Fundstrat's Mark Newton pointed out that the earnings of Alphabet and Microsoft are paving the way for a broad rally. Next week, Apple and Amazon, will release earnings and investors will be focused on the Fed's next policy meeting scheduled for April 30-May 1.

Persons: —, Fundstrat's Mark Newton, Savita Subramanian, we're, it's, Subramanian Organizations: Microsoft, Service, Federal, Amazon, Nvidia, Technology, Bank of, CNBC, Apple, Dow Locations: Here's

☆ We have more insights as to where the economy is headed — and it's not good
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . In today's big story, we're looking at how the latest GDP data has shifted the expectations of where the economy is headed. Now, the economy will need some type of event (see: bubble popping) for rate cuts to become an option anytime soon, Miskin said. Energy price shocks could bring the world economy to a "vulnerable moment," chief economist Indermit Gill warned.

Persons: —, TikTok, they're, you'd, Jia Feng, It'll, Insider's Madison Hoff, It's, Jerome Powell, Anna Moneymaker, BI's Filip De Mott, Jamie Dimon, Matt Miskin, Miskin, Mark Zuckerberg, C, Cox, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Goldman Sachs, Guess what's, Indermit Gill, Alphabet's, Redmond, Tyler Le, Doug McMillon, execs, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, George Glover Organizations: Business, Service, Reserve, stagflation, JPMorgan, Wall Street, John Hancock Investment Management, Galatioto Sports Partners, Bank, Google, Big Tech, Microsoft, Health, Linkedin, YouTube, ExxonMobil Locations: Chevron, New York, London

☆ Can a new batch of tech earnings rescue the market? Here are the factors at play
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-25 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The market was already headed toward a down session due to disappointing reactions to earnings, which haven't been entirely bad. Club earnings : Microsoft and Alphabet report after the bell Thursday. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.

Persons: Jim Cramer, haven't, hasn't, it's, Mark Zuckerberg, Amy Hood, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Club, Meta, Tech, Nvidia, Broadcom, Microsoft, PCE, Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Colgate, Palmolive, HCA Holdings, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Abbvie

☆ Dow sinks nearly 700 points after GDP report, heading toward its largest drop of the year
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-25 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

New York CNN —US stocks sank Thursday morning after the latest GDP report showed that US economic growth slowed to 1.6% in the first quarter of the year, a much weaker pace than expected. “This report was the worst of both worlds: economic growth is slowing and inflationary pressures are persisting,” wrote Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer at Independent Advisor Alliance, in a note Thursday morning. Economic growth appears to be floating back down to earth after notching a very strong second half of 2023. GDP grew by 4.9% and 3.4% in the third and fourth quarters of last year. Those sticky inflation rates have pushed investors to slash their expectations for interest rate cuts by the Fed.

Persons: Dow, ”, Chris Zaccarelli, They’re, It’s, stagflation, Jamie Dimon, “ Stagflation, “, we’ve, Ben Carlson Organizations: New, New York CNN, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Independent, Alliance, Fed, Economic, of New, JPMorgan, Ritholtz Wealth Management, Tech, Meta, Microsoft, Amazon Locations: New York, of New York

☆ Here's why Thursday's post-GDP sell-off may be overdone
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-25 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Stocks sold off Thursday aHoweverfter the latest economic data came in weaker than expected, but some observers say that the reaction was overdone. While the headline GDP number missed expectations, it nevertheless showed economic growth the Fed could take in stride, they say. He noted that the core parts of GDP, such as consumption growth and residential growth, were "quite good." "Stagflation is a combination of stagnant growth and high inflation," Nick continued. "I think the earnings backdrop has been very supportive," Lee told CNBC's " Closing Bell " on Thursday.

Persons: Stocks, Dow Jones, Chris Zaccarelli, Brian Nick, Nick, we're, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Fundstrat's Tom Lee, Lee, CNBC's, Jeff Cox Organizations: Federal Reserve, Independent, Alliance, Dow Jones, Treasury, Macro, Wolfe Research Locations: U.S

☆ Fears about stagflation are mounting in the US. It’s every central banker’s worst nightmare
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-25 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

And economists are forecasting new inflation data due Friday will paint a similar picture. The GDP report gave another preview of what could come. Slowing economic growth combined with rising inflation is known as stagflation. To be fair, one GDP report isn’t necessarily indicative of a trend. He repeated that message in a Wall Street Journal interview published Thursday before the GDP report was released.

Persons: there’s, JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, we’ve, ”, —, ” Dimon, Mike Reynolds Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, Economic, of New Locations: New York, Germany, Israel, of New York

☆ Jamie Dimon says the US has less than 50% odds of nailing a soft landing: 'Don't get lulled into a false sense of security'
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-25 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Markets are too optimistic about a soft landing, JPMorgan chief Jamie Dimon told The Wall Street Journal. He expects soft landing odds to be half of what markets are pricing in. "Don't get lulled into a false sense of security because the today looks okay." AdvertisementThings aren't looking particularly rosy for markets and the economy, Jamie Dimon said in an interview with The Wall Street Journal. "The odds of a soft landing, the market kind of prices in 70%.

Persons: Jamie Dimon, —, Dimon, they're Organizations: JPMorgan, Wall Street, Service

☆ The US economy may be barrelling towards stagflation, an outcome worse than recession
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-25 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The provides the backdrop for stagflation, which can't be combated with rate cuts. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . With additional help from high government spending and the dollar's de-coupling from gold, inflation surged into double digits, while the economy tumbled. The period was so tumultuous that it undid long-standing macroeconomic theories, and required the Fed to step up its role in the economy.

Persons: —, David Donabedian, It's, listlessness, stagflation, Paul Volcker, Jamie Dimon, we've, Pooja Sriram, Powell Organizations: Service, CIBC Private Wealth, OPEC, Economic, of New, Barclays Locations: of New York

☆ Stock market today: Dow falls 375 points as traders brace for new inflation data after weak GDP
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-25 | by ( Max Adams | Yuheng Zhan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Commentators pointed out that the data was still mostly strong but inflation is problematic. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementStocks fell on Thursday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average losing 375 points as the market took in weaker-than-expected economic data. Savings rates are falling as sticky inflation puts greater pressure on the consumer," LPL Financial chief economist Jeffrey Roach said.

Persons: —, Stocks, Jeffrey Roach Organizations: Service, Dow Jones Industrial, Reserve, Barclays, Bank of America, PCE, Financial, Treasury, Meta, Microsoft, Google

☆ Jamie Dimon warns the world order is being challenged — and bashes crypto once more
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-24 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewMost people are financially healthy, but economic and geopolitical threats could spoil the party, Jamie Dimon warned on Tuesday. People are also benefiting from strong economic growth and near-record employment, but they won't be immune if disaster strikes, Dimon said. "Even if we go into recession, the consumer's in good shape," he said in a clip of the interview posted by Bloomberg. He added that the world order is being "challenged" and could descend into a "little bit of chaos" as it realigns.

Persons: —, Jamie Dimon, Dimon, Dimon's, JPMorgan's, we've Organizations: Service, Consumers, Economic, of New, Business, Bloomberg, Wall Locations: of New York, China, Russia, Ukraine, Middle

☆ Higher for longer rates may mean lower for longer stock multiples, and stock prices
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-16 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Earnings estimates did not suddenly rise dramatically. Earnings estimates for the S & P 500 this year is $243, according to LSEG. The multiple is an expression of how much investors are willing to pay for, say, $1 of future earnings. The market is saying it is willing to pay $10 for $1 in future earnings. And if that happens, earnings estimates will decline along with the multiple.

Persons: Jack Bogle, Bogle, depresses, that's Organizations: Vanguard, Funds

☆ Wall Street heads into the week ahead on edge as traders brace for a raft of earnings, economic data
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-12 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

How the corporate America is handling sticky inflation and the prospect of higher interest rates will be top of mind for investors in the week ahead, after this week's choppy moves. The first-quarter earnings season, which kicked off Friday, will give Wall Street insight into how businesses expect to weather an environment of elevated interest rates. More macro data, such as U.S. retail sales, will give insight into how the consumer is handling higher pricing pressures. First-quarter earnings season underway The corporate earnings season kicks into high gear in the week ahead. This week, the small cap Russell 2000 is on track for a losing week, down by more than 1%.

Persons: Bob Doll, CNBC's, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, FactSet, Robert Haworth, Haworth, Charles Schwab, Johnson, D.R, KeyCorp Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Exxon Mobil, Costco, Apple, Crossmark, Investments, Investors, Bank of America, Consumer, U.S . Bank, Index, Retail, T Bank, Housing, Manufacturing, Hunt Transport Services, United Airlines, Johnson, Bank of New York Mellon, UnitedHealth Group, Northern Trust, CSX, Discover Financial Services, Prologis, U.S . Bancorp, Philadelphia Fed, American Express, Procter, Gamble, Fifth Third Bancorp, Schlumberger Locations: America, China, NAHB, Vegas Sands, U.S, Horton

☆ Nvidia is in a bubble, stocks will disappoint for a decade, and a recession will strike this year, markets guru warns
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-12 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Nvidia is in a bubble, stocks will falter, and a recession will hit this year, Jesse Felder said. The markets guru said the microchip frenzy would fade, and stock-market returns would drop off. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementNvidia hype is a bubble that will burst, stocks will disappoint for the next decade or longer, and a recession will strike this year, Jesse Felder said.

Persons: Jesse Felder, —, outsize, Felder, Jeff Bezos, Meta's Mark Zuckerberg, Jamie Dimon Organizations: Nvidia, Service, Micron

☆ Wall Street wants answers from big banks about the economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-11 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

New York CNN —Big banks kick off earnings season Friday. “Earnings season just became significantly more important,” said JJ Kinahan, chief executive of IG North America, in a Wednesday note. On one hand, lofty rates could help pad banks’ net interest income, since they can charge a higher borrowing rate for loans and mortgages. Inflation has been a bane on Biden’s presidency, with voters consistently giving him low marks for his handling of the economy. Fed Chair Jerome Powell has said that policymakers want to see more evidence that inflation is headed toward their 2% goal.

Persons: ”, JJ Kinahan, JPMorgan, Wells, You’ll, Carol Schleif, Wall, Jamie Dimon, “, Alicia Wallace, Friday’s, Joe Biden, ” Biden, Bryan Mena, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, IG North America, JPMorgan Chase, BlackRock, Citigroup, PNC Financial Services, BMO Family Office, Federal Reserve, Wall, Traders, Bureau of Labor Statistics, —, Federal, Fed Locations: New York, Wells Fargo, pare

☆ Winners and losers now that the reflation trade is back. Who does well and who struggles
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-11 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

To see the impact of higher inflation and higher interest rates on companies, just look at the earnings release for CarMax this morning. For example, higher rates are generally bad for REITs beause REITs rely on debt financing. Higher rates also mean increased borrowing costs for utilities, which carry a lot of debt because they use a lot of capital. The problem is, energy and material stocks have already been rising due to higher oil and a still strong economy. Other potential beneficiaries of higher rates with a strong economy are defensive stocks, which tend to be less interest rate sensitive, like Kroger or Walmart .

Organizations: Energy, Communication, Kroger, Walmart Locations: Meta

☆ Stock futures tick higher as key March inflation report looms: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-09 | by ( Pia Singh | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stock futures inched higher Tuesday night as investors await key U.S. inflation data that will inform the Federal Reserve's path on rate policy. During Tuesday's regular trading, investors appeared to be in a holding pattern ahead of the March consumer price index report. The CPI report, which is set to release on Wednesday at 8:30 a.m. Fed funds futures trading data suggests a 42% likelihood that the central bank will hold steady on rates in June, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. In addition to the big inflation report on Wednesday, investors are also looking forward to the meeting minutes from the Fed's gathering last month.

Persons: Dow, Dow Jones, Quincy Krosby, Krosby Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, CPI, Traders, LPL, Delta Air Lines Locations: New York City, Quincy

☆ JPMorgan's Jamie Dimon warns the world is on fire — and plenty of people are way too bullish
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-08 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

In his annual letter to JPMorgan shareholders, Jamie Dimon rang the alarm on geopolitical tensions. The bank's CEO said investors were too optimistic about inflation, interest rates, and the economy. AdvertisementJamie Dimon is deeply concerned about international relations — and worries investors are too optimistic about threats such as inflation, interest rates, and recession. AdvertisementIndeed, Dimon said JPMorgan was ready for rates of 2% to 8% or even higher. He flagged the possibility of stagflation, which could usher in higher rates, large credit losses, a slump in business volumes, and tough markets.

Persons: Jamie Dimon, —, Dimon, Sharp, he's Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, Federal, Wall Locations: Ukraine, China

☆ U.S. could be facing stagflation as jobs market cracks, inflation remains sticky, warns BofA's Hartnett
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-15 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stubbornly high inflation and a wobbly jobs market are combining to pose an ominous threat to the U.S. economy, Bank of America chief market strategist Michael Hartnett warned. The result is a narrative of "macro shifting from Q4/Q1 'Goldilocks' to Q1/Q2 'Stagflation,'" Hartnett said in his weekly "Flow Show" note to clients dated Thursday. As Hartnett indicated, the U.S. closed 2023 with the labor market looking strong and GDP posting a solid 3.2% gain. On the jobs market, while nonfarm payrolls have risen strongly , household employment actually is down by about 900,000 since November and full-time jobs have declined by nearly 1.8 million. The Fed is "implicitly ... tolerating higher inflation" as way to inflate the debt away, a condition that means "weaker policy credibility = weaker currency … why crypto & gold [are] at all-time highs."

Persons: Michael Hartnett, Hartnett, Stagflation, nonfarm, specter, That's Organizations: Bank of America, Federal Reserve, New, Fed, U.S ., Atlanta Fed, Nasdaq Locations: U.S

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